Abstract: Abstract: In recent years, it is great practical and academic value to carry out research on the comprehensive effect of housing prices and talent aggregation among many " Talent Snatch War " cities. This paper uses dynamic panel threshold model to evaluate the impact and mechanism of housing prices on the R&D talent aggregation. Firstly, it found that housing price in the low threshold region has a significant role in promoting the R&D talent aggregation, while the high threshold housing price has a inhibiting effect on the R&D talent aggregation throughout the country. Secondly, the influence direction of housing price on the R&D talent aggregation in eastern China is the same as that in the whole country. The housing price in the middle and western regions is located in the low threshold region, which can inhibit the the R&D talent aggregation, while in the high threshold region, it can significantly promote the the R&D talent aggregation. In addition, there is no significant "herding behavior" effect between the whole country and the eastern region, and there is a "crowding effect" in the eastern region, but the "herding behavior" effect in the central and western regions is significant and positive externality. The conclusion is that in the short run, the cities in the Eastern Region should increase the subsidy of purchasing houses for the R&D talent aggregation, and in the long run, they should take an active part in the "industry-grabbing war" to enhance the agglomeration of high-tech industries. Cities in the central and western regions should seize the strategic opportunity to participate in the " Talent Snatch War ", Making full use of the "herd behavior" effect of talent gathering.

Key words: "Herd Behavior", Effect

摘要： 摘要：对当前诸多参与“抢人大战”城市间引发有关房价与人才引进综合效应进行理论与实证研究具有较强的现实意义和学术价值。运用动态面板门限模型评估了房价对科研人才集聚的影响效应及作用机制，主要研究发现为：第一，全国范围内房价位于低门限区间对科研人才集聚存在显著的促进效应，高门限区间房价对科研人才集聚具有抑制作用，东部地区与全国范围一致但不够显著；第二，中、西部地区房价位于低门限区间对科研人才集聚具有抑制作用，而在高门限区间对科研人才集聚存在显著的促进效应；第三，东部地区科研人才集聚出现“拥挤效应”，中、西部地区科研人才集聚“羊群行为”效应存在显著正的外部性。研究结论是东部地区“抢人大战”城市短期内应大幅提高科研人才购房补贴以降低人才实际购房成本，长远来看应积极参与“抢业大战”提升高技术产业集聚程度。中、西部地区各城市应抓住参与“抢人大战”的战略契机，充分利用人才集聚“羊群行为”显著正的外部性倍速集聚人才。