›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (8): 1141-1150.
• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇 下一篇
张之光1,王艳赵立雨3
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摘要: 信息技术投资绩效应该是一个动态变化的过程,而且受到国家特征的影响,但当前的研究往往忽视了国家特征对信息技术投资绩效的影响。本文在传统局部调整模型的基础上,假设调整速度是动态变动的,且是国家特征的线性函数,提出了一种基于动态调整速度的局部调整模型。该模型可以分析统计期内信息技术投资绩效的动态变化过程,及其与调整速度的关系。结果表明,信息技术投资对中国经济增长的影响并不显著,信息技术作为生产要素进入生产过程后,导致经济绩效的下降,中国存在信息技术的“生产率悖论”现象。
关键词: 信息技术, 生产率悖论, 投资绩效, 调整速度, Information Technology, Productivity Paradox, Investment Performance, Adjustment Speeds
Abstract: The Information technology (IT) investment performance should be a dynamic change process, affected by the national characteristics, but which is often neglected by the current research. On the basis of the traditional partial adjustment model, this paper assumes the adjustment speed is dynamic and the linear function of national characteristics, thus a partial adjustment model based on dynamic adjustment speed is proposed. The model can analyze the dynamic change process of IT investment performance during the statistical period, and its relationship with adjustable speed. The results show that the influence of IT investment on China's economic growth is not significant, the IT as a factor into the production process, led to a decline in economic performance, thus China exists the phenomenon of IT productivity paradox.
张之光 王艳 赵立雨. 中国信息技术投资绩效的实证研究[J]. , 2015, 33(8): 1141-1150.
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https://journal08.magtechjournal.com/kxxyj/CN/Y2015/V33/I8/1141