• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2014, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 873-881.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

我国农业技术空间溢出效应:1986-2010

肖小勇,李秋萍   

  1. 华中农业大学经济管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2013-08-31 修回日期:2013-11-15 出版日期:2014-06-15 发布日期:2014-06-16
  • 通讯作者: 肖小勇
  • 基金资助:

    我国鲜活农产品价格形成、波动机制与调控政策研究;基于动态CGE模型情景模拟的蔬菜价格波动与价格传导机制研究;中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助

The Empirical Study of Agricultural Technology Spillover Effects: Based on the Spatial Panel Data of 1986-2010 in China

  • Received:2013-08-31 Revised:2013-11-15 Online:2014-06-15 Published:2014-06-16
  • Supported by:

    ;the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

摘要: 鲜有文献运用空间计量模型分析我国农业技术的空间溢出效应。在测算我国28个省1986-2010年农产品技术相似矩阵和农业技术溢出量的基础上,运用空间面板数据模型分析了我国农业技术的空间溢出效应。研究结论表明:我国的农业生产存在空间相关性,这种空间相关性在农业技术相似省份间表现更为明显;省份间农业技术溢出对各省农业生产存在正效应,农业技术省际溢出系数约为0.25,大于各省人均农业科技投入存量系数(约0.12);对经过多维标度法聚类后的三类农业技术相似省份的进一步分析表明,省份间农业技术越相似,省际技术溢出效应越大。

Abstract: Few studies focus on the effects of spillover of agricultural technology using the approach of spatial econometrics. Based on measurement of the matrix of similarity of agricultural products and the stock of technology spillover, we analyze the effects upon which agricultural technology spillover have to productivity. We reach conclusions as follows: there is spatial correlation for agricultural production in china, and the spatial correlation become more significant when one province is more similar to the other province in agricultural technology. Agricultural technology spillover between provinces have positive effects on the production of agriculture, and the estimated coefficient lies in0.25, bigger than the coefficient of the stock of research of own(0.12). Using multi-dimensional scaling, we get three clusters of provinces in which the technology is similar. The effects of technology spillover within the clusters are greater than that between them.

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