• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (1): 29-36.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

中美“技术脱钩”:领域研判与应对

蔡中华1,陈鸿2,2,马欢2,3   

  1. 1. 北京化工大学经济管理学院
    2.
    3. 国家知识产权局专利局
  • 收稿日期:2020-12-02 修回日期:2021-02-08 出版日期:2022-01-15 发布日期:2022-01-21
  • 通讯作者: 蔡中华
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金;国家知识产权局软科学研究项目

Sino-US Tech Decoupling: Research and Response in the field of technology

  • Received:2020-12-02 Revised:2021-02-08 Online:2022-01-15 Published:2022-01-21

摘要: 面对日趋激烈的中美科技竞争和美方推动“技术脱钩”举动,本文构造了新的技术相似度指数,使用专利数据测算美国在华技术布局与我国自主技术的竞争程度,并研判各领域的“技术脱钩”态势。研究结果显示:中美在华技术布局的整体竞争程度自2010年起稳定在高位水平,但在美国单方面发起科技冷战后,中美在华技术相似度指数突然持续下降,美方推动的“技术脱钩”态势比较明显。领域层面的技术相似度分析则表明,2018年后美国申请人在竞争程度较高的计算机技术、数字通信等六个领域调整了专利申请策略,降低了中美技术布局关联,最有可能在这些领域推动“技术脱钩”。最后,本文针对中美科技竞争与“技术脱钩”态势提出了应对建议。

Abstract: Focusing on the increasingly fierce Sino-US technology competition and the Tech Decoupling proposition of the US, this paper constructs a new technology proximity index, uses patent application data to measure the degree of competition between the US technology layout in China and China's independent technology layout, and analyzes the trend of Tech Decoupling in various fields. The results show that the overall degree of competition between the two countries has been stable at a high level since 2010, but after the US unilaterally launched the cold war on science and technology against China, the technology proximity index continues to decline, and the trend of Tech Decoupling is obvious. The analysis of technology proximity at the field level shows that after 2018, the US applicant adjusts patent layout strategies in six areas, such as highly competitive computer technology and digital communication, reducing the correlation between US and China's technology layouts, most likely driving Tech Decoupling in these fields. In the last part, some suggestions on how to response Sino-US Tech Decoupling are put forward.