Abstract: Based on the framework of innovation adoption, this study proposes a method for identifying disruptive technology that simultaneously satisfies the internal and external characteristics of innovation to identify potential disruptive technologies from the relative nature of innovation. First, Bertopic theme model and patent text information mining techniques are used in stages to obtain new technology functions and discontinuous technology standards respectively, in order to extract the internal characteristics of innovation of disruptive technologies; Second, the CD index, a measure of disruption, is used to extract the external characteristics of innovation in disruptive technologies; Third, the disruptive technologies that simultaneously satisfy the internal and external characteristics of an innovation are identified and classified into new market, low-end and high-end disruptive technologies as well. Finally, taking patents in the field of energy storage as an example, we verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the disruptive technology identification method in this paper. The identification method in this paper is able to match the definition of disruptive technology with its identification, express the interaction between technological innovation and market adoption, and distinguish different types of disruptive technologies. This identification method could provide a reference for enterprises to determine whether a new technology has a disruptive impact.

摘要： 基于创新采用的分析框架，从创新的相对性出发，提出一种同时满足创新的内部特征和外部特征的颠覆性技术识别方法。首先，分别使用Bertopic主题模型、专利信息挖掘技术获取新技术功能、不连续的技术标准，识别颠覆性技术的创新内部特征；其次，使用CD指数衡量专利颠覆性潜力，识别颠覆性技术的创新外部特征；然后，识别出同时满足创新内外部特征的颠覆性技术，划分出新市场、低端和高端的颠覆性技术；最后，以储能领域专利为例，验证识别方法的可行性和有效性。该方法能将颠覆性技术的定义与识别进行匹配，体现出技术创新和市场采纳的相互作用，区分不同类型的颠覆性技术，为企业确定一项新技术是否产生颠覆性影响提供了参考。