Studies in Science of Science ›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (9): 1414-1423.
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白骏骄1,李芮2
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基金资助:
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71173050)
Abstract: Since the Financial Crisis in 2008, macro-economic and financial volatility has become the focus of academy. The Internet innovation, as a form of business-model innovation in the mid-late period of the current technology revolution, has made great impact in China’s macro-economy and financial industry. This article for the first time analyzed the function of Internet innovation on early warning and backward alleviation of macro-economic and financial volatility, used AHP method to form Internet Innovation Index, Macro-Economic Index, and Financial Stability Index, and used the historic data from 2006 to 2014 to test the theory.
摘要: 2008年金融危机后,宏观经济波动和金融市场波动成为了学者关注的重点。互联网创新作为一种科技革命中后期的商业模式创新形式,在中国得到了高速的发展和普及,对经济社会和金融等行业产生了巨大的影响。本文首次从理论上分析了互联网前向预警和后向平缓经济、金融波动的作用,并运用AHP法分别建立了互联网创新波动、宏观与外部经济波动、金融市场波动三个指数,通过2006年至2014年的历史数据进行拟合。发现,互联网作为创新最为活跃的现代服务业,可以前向预警宏观经济和金融市场波动,后向平缓波动冲击,同时能够在经济增长出现波动的同时,使就业和消费价格维持在合理的水平。
关键词: 互联网, 创新, 宏观经济, 金融波动
白骏骄 李芮. 互联网创新对宏观经济及金融波动的影响研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2015, 33(9): 1414-1423.
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