Abstract: The paper analyze the CDM objects registered before August 1st,2011. In the part of empirical study, the author uses the logit model to analyze the factors which cause the differences. The regression results reveal that CDM size, the number of similar CDM objects, regional economic developments and regional technology capacity all contribute to the different degrees and forms of technology transfer. The number of similar CDM projects lowers the probability of transfer. The incentive mechanism that CERs revenue promotes technology transfer has not been established. Finally, this paper proposes some policy recommendations.

摘要： 本文以截止2011年8月1日注册成功的中国CDM项目作为研究对象，对影响CDM项目技术转移的因素运用logit模型进行实证分析。计量结果表明：项目规模、所在地区的经济发展状况、所在地区的技术吸收能力等因素会对技术转移发挥不同程度的促进作用；相似项目规模抑制了技术转移的发生；现阶段我国尚未建立起CERs收益对技术转移的激励机制。最后，本文提出了相应的政策建议。

关键词: 清洁发展机制, 减排, 技术转移, CER收益, 技术能力, CDM, mitigation, technology transfer, CER revenues, technology capacity