• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (10): 1765-1775.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国城市战略性新兴产业技术路径演化机制———路径依赖还是随机偶然?

王建华   

  1. 湖南大学经济与贸易学院
  • 收稿日期:2022-06-14 修回日期:2022-09-08 出版日期:2023-10-15 发布日期:2023-10-26
  • 通讯作者: 王建华
  • 基金资助:
    时空异质性视角下的中国技术创新空间点格局演化及驱动机制研究

Evolutionary Mechanism of Technology Path of Strategic Emerging Industries in China’s Cities: Path Dependence or happenstance?

  • Received:2022-06-14 Revised:2022-09-08 Online:2023-10-15 Published:2023-10-26

摘要: 厘清中国区域战略性新兴产业技术创新的多元化演化发展机制,对推动中国经济高质量发展具有重要意义。本文创造性地构建了表征不同“新颖性”特征技术路径的分析框架,以中国城市战略性新兴产业技术路径为研究对象,针对城市技术多元化过程中“突破性技术路径”和“邻近性技术路径”的路径依赖性进行检验,揭示中国城市战略性新兴产业技术发展的基本演化规律。研究发现:突破性和邻近性技术 路径发展由不同演化机制主导。邻近性技术路径发展因依赖于本地知识基础而呈现路径依赖特征,但突 破性技术路径发展则具有不依赖城市技术历史结构的随机偶然性,并突出表现在突破性技术路径创造阶段。本文为战略性新兴产业技术发展的中国经验提供了新观察视角。

Abstract: Clarifying the diversified evolution mechanism of technological innovation in China’s regional strategic emerging industries is of great significance to promoting the supply-side reform of China’s economy. In this paper, a pioneering analysis framework is constructed to characterize different “novelty” characteristics of technological paths, taking technological path of strategic emerging industries in Chinese cities as the research object, aiming at the evolutionary principle in “Break-through Technological Paths” and “Adjacent Technological Path” in the process of urban technological diversification. It is found that the development of break-through and adjacent technology paths is dominated by different evolutionary mechanisms. The development of adjacent technology paths has the characteristics of path dependence while depending on the local knowledge base, but the development of breakthrough technology paths present random contingency that does not depend on the historical structure of urban technology, and especially is prominent in stage of break-through technology path creation. The research provides a new perspective for observing Chinese experience of technological development in China’s strategic emerging industries