关键词: 出口技术复杂度, 赶超, 经济增长, 门槛效应模型, 比较优势零值, export sophistication, catch-up, economic growth, threshold estimation, zero point of comparative advantage.

Abstract: Base on the export data of 12 categories products in provincial-level, this paper estimated 28 provinces’ catch-up index of export sophistication of labor and capital intensive industries. Then take advantage of threshold estimation to analysis the effects of catch-up to the economic growth. The preliminary conclusions included :(1) the effects of catch-up to the economic growth is non-linear.(2)Catch-up is not destined to enhance economic growth, the labor intensive industries have an convergence in the effects of catch-up to economic growth. (3) The catch-up intensity of capital intensive industries in Eastern China and labor intensive industries in Eastern and Central China should be strengthened, but the catch-up degree of capital intensive industries in Central and Western China should be moderate.