• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2013, Vol. ›› Issue (3): 377-386.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

R&D投资越多越好吗——基于中国工业部门面板数据的门限回归分析

孙晓华1,辛梦依2   

  1. 1. 大连理工大学
    2.
  • 收稿日期:2012-07-11 修回日期:2012-11-19 出版日期:2013-03-15 发布日期:2013-03-20
  • 通讯作者: 孙晓华
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目“演化视角下重大装备制造业自主创新的路径、机制与政策:理论和案例研究”

Are the More R&D Investments the Better?—The Threshold Regression Analysis Based on Chinese Industrial Department Panal Data

  • Received:2012-07-11 Revised:2012-11-19 Online:2013-03-15 Published:2013-03-20

摘要: R&D投资是转变经济发展方式和增强产业竞争力的关键,近年来随着我国研发经费支出的持续增加,作为要素投入的R&D投资是否越多越好成为亟待讨论的重要问题。本文以中国36个工业行业2002-2009年的面板数据为样本,利用门限回归模型检验了R&D投资对行业绩效的影响,来自全部工业行业数据的实证结果显示,R&D强度存在唯一的门限0.0089。分大类行业的估计结果表明:研发投资的作用机制在不同属性行业中存在明显差异,机械电子和资源加工业的R&D投资门限效应较为显著,且门限值(0.0125,0.0020)反映了行业生产的要素密集度特征;轻纺制造业由于R&D强度处于较低水平,不存在门限效应。

关键词: R&D投资, 门限效应, 工业部门, R&D investment, threshold effect, industrial department

Abstract: R&D investment is the key to change economic development pattern and enhance the industrial competitiveness. In recent years, with the increasing R&D espenses in China, whether the more R&D investments are the better has become a much-debted issue. This article uses the panel datas of 36 chinese industies from 2002 to 2009 as samples and applies the threshold regression model to test the influence of R&D investments to the performance of thoes industies. According to the empirical results on the basis of all industrial sectors, 0.0089 is the single threshold value of R&D strength. Moreover, it is demostrated that the action mechanism of R&D investments is obviously different in those industries with diverse qualities. Specifically, the threshold effects in the industries of mechanical and electronic and resources processing are relatively more remarkable, and the threshold values(0.0125&0.0020) reflect the characteristics of factor intensity; In addition,there is no threshold effect in the taxtile manufacturing because of its lower R&D strength.