关键词: 农业科技进步, 农业碳排放, 区域差异, 动态面板数据模型

Abstract: As a big developing country, the differences of progress level of agricultural science and technology and carbon emissions among different areas are very obvious in China. To comprehensively study the impact of progress of agricultural science and technology to agricultural carbon emissions, we need to select appropriate research perspective. Based on many reasons limited, research findings about the impact of progress of agricultural science and technology to agricultural carbon emissions from the perspective of provincial administrative are extremely rare. To this end, this paper analyzed theories about the impact of progress of agricultural science and technology to agricultural carbon emissions and constructed a dynamic panel data model. Based on these, the paper made an empirical study about the impact of progress of agricultural science and technology to agricultural carbon emissions using the data of the 30 provincial units from 2000 to 2010. The results show that under the premise of controlling for other variables, there was a negative correlation between progress of agricultural science and technology and agricultural carbon emission. The higher progress level of agricultural science and technology, the less agricultural emission, and the lower progress level of agricultural science and technology, the more agricultural emissions. Finally, the paper put forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions aiming at reducing agricultural emissions.

Key words: agricultural science and technology progress, agricultural carbon emission, regional differences, dynamic panel data model