关键词: 创新, 产业进化, 微观基础, 投入产出, Innovation, industry evolution, micro-founded, input-output

Abstract: Innovation is considered to be the key driving force of industry dynamics and evolution. However, there are few quantity studies in this field. The paper studies the driving force and process of Chinese industry evolution from the perspective of innovation. Based on Lorentz and Savona(2008)and Lorentz and Savona(2010) we establish a micro-founded industry dynamics and evolution model with endogenous innovation mechanism and carry out scenario analysis based on Chinese data. We find that the evolution of industry stucture and macro-economic growth in China can be mainly attributed to the improvement of labor productivity and the saving of capital material induced by innovation, and the latter appears to be the key driving force supporting overall industry structure change and economic growth.