• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2014, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (2): 211-217.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

城镇化、非农技术与农业技术变迁——基于SVAR模型的研究

刘维奇1,韩媛媛2   

  1. 1. 山西财经大学
    2. 中国人民大学
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-17 修回日期:2013-11-11 出版日期:2014-02-15 发布日期:2014-02-14
  • 通讯作者: 刘维奇
  • 基金资助:
    城乡统筹进程中生产要素流动机理与整合机制研究;农村非农产业、劳动力转移与有效增加农民收入研究—以山西省为例

Urbanization,Non-agricultural and Agriculture Technology Change——A Study Based on SVAR Model

  • Received:2013-06-17 Revised:2013-11-11 Online:2014-02-15 Published:2014-02-14

摘要: 提高农业技术水平是实现农业现代化和城乡统筹发展的关键,而农业技术水平的提高主要来源于两个方面,一个是城市生产的农业新技术,再一个是非农产业技术向农业的转移,本文通过建立SVAR模型研究城镇化、非农产业技术与农业技术变迁之间的相互作用和响应关系,认为农业技术水平的提高不但是城镇化的持久动力,也会对非农产业技术产生长期作用,我国城镇化对农业技术水平的短期效应不明显,而非农产业技术对农业技术的短期效应比较明显,所以,要加大城镇化对农业技术的促进作用,倡导适应性的农业技术创新,完善农业科技推广体系,加快技术从非农部门向农业的转移,只有这样才能实现城乡统筹发展,提高城镇化质量。

关键词: 技术变迁, 城镇化, 脉冲响应, Technology Change, Urbanization, Impulse Response

Abstract: Raised the level of agricultural technology is the key to achieve the modernization of agriculture and the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. Agricultural technology comes mainly from two aspects, one is the production of new agricultural technology in city, and another is technology transferred to agriculture from non-agricultural sector. This article discusses the relationship and response in the urbanization, non-agricultural technology and agricultural technology changes through the SVAR model.It thinks that not only agricultural technology has lasting power to urbanization, but also has long-term effects on the non-agricultural technology. The short term effects on agricultural technology from China's urbanization is not obvious, but non-agricultural technology’s short-term effects on agricultural technology are obvious. Then, we should play urbanization an important role in increasing agricultural technology, advocate adaptive agricultural technology innovation, and improve the agricultural extension system, accelerating technology transfer from a non-farm sector to the agricultural.This is a way to realize of urban and rural development, improve the quality of urbanization.