科学学研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (10): 1750-1757.
• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇 下一篇
王铮1,郑钦月2,王利赞3,孙翊1,杨源2,田园2,刘昌新2
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摘要: 本文基于CGE模型对中国近年来积极的R&D投入对中国经济的短期影响进行了定量分析。模拟结果主要有以下几点发现:1)R&D投入能够显著地促进中国整体经济的发展;2)R&D投入对优化中国产业结构有着积极作用,即有利于中国经济由第二产业主导转变成第三产业主导,在第二产业中,R&D投入对建筑业的影响最大,对制造业的影响相对要小一点,而在第三产业中,R&D投入对房地产业、住宿和餐饮业基本没有影响;3)R&D投入能够明显地刺激内需,促进居民消费,而保持当前R&D投入强度有利于缩小城乡居民收入差距。
Abstract: The paper makes a quantitative analysis of the short-term impact of China's positive R&D investment on China's economy in recent years, based on CGE model. The simulation results are mainly as follows: 1) R&D investment can significantly promote the development of China's overall economy; 2) R&D investment has a positive effect on optimizing China's industrial structure, which is conducive to the transformation of China's economy from the secondary industry to the tertiary industry. In the secondary industry, R&D investment has the greatest impact on the construction industry, and the impact on the manufacturing industry is relatively smaller. In the tertiary industry, R&D investment has little effect on the real estate, Hotels and catering industry. 3) R&D investment can significantly stimulate domestic demand, promote consumer spending, and maintaining the current R&D investment intensity helps to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents.
王铮 郑钦月 王利赞 孙翊 杨源 田园 刘昌新. R&D投入对中国经济的影响研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2018, 36(10): 1750-1757.
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