• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (7): 1220-1230.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市抢“人”大战有利于地区新旧动能转换吗

孙文浩1,张益丰2   

  1. 1. 中国人民大学经济学院
    2. 南京林业大学经济管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2018-07-09 修回日期:2018-12-03 出版日期:2019-07-15 发布日期:2019-07-26
  • 通讯作者: 张益丰

"Talent Snatch War" in City Is Beneficial to Shift in Driving Forces In areas?: Multiple agglomeration effect base on hypothesis of Williamson

  • Received:2018-07-09 Revised:2018-12-03 Online:2019-07-15 Published:2019-07-26

摘要: 摘 要:对当前诸多城市间人才引进引发“抢人大战”的合宜性及综合效应进行理论与实证研究具有较强的现实意义和学术价值。面板计量实证检验发现全国、东、中、西部地区均呈现出人才集聚对高技术产业、传统产业的集聚具有显著非线性影响,满足威廉姆森空间多元集聚效应假说。使用广义分位数(GQR)回归检验发现东、中、西部地区存在人才集聚的最优分位点结构,居于最优分位点的城市在新旧动能转换过程中占据人才集聚有利地位。最后利用最优分位点结构设计高、中、低分位点区间,对参与“抢人大战”主要城市的人才政策进行绩效评价。研究结论是近几年参与“抢人大战”的城市科研人才集聚程度逐步提高,但集聚结构逐渐恶化;东、西部地区相关城市科研人才集聚偏离最优结构档位,不利于地区新旧动能转换。城市“抢人大战”不仅需在数量层面上引智招才,更需根据最优分位点实现相机抉择来吸纳高层次科研人才。

Abstract: Abstract: In recent years, several cities in China have been carrying out the "talent snatch war". But this “war” which is inclined to the level of quantity can not be suitable from the perspective of shifting in driving forces. Firstly, this paper uses the panel-data model to find a significant nonlinear relationship between high-tech and traditional industrial agglomeration in the national sample, Eastern, central and western regions, namely, the hypothesis of Williamson. Secondly, combined with generalized quantile regression (GQR), we find that there exists optimal quantile structure of talents in eastern, central and western regions, and the cities with the best loci are beneficial to shift between new and old kinetic energy. Finally, the optimal locus structure is used to set the locus interval of high, middle and low gear positions to evaluate the talent policies of major cities which participating in the "talent snatch war". In recent years, the agglomeration of R&D talents has gradually increased in that cities, but the structure of the agglomeration has been destroyed. The agglomeration of R&D talents deviated from the optimal structural in related cities belonged to eastern and western regions, which is not benefit to shift in driving force in regions. The findings show that the city "snatching war" is not only stressing on the quantity level of talents, but also to match the structure of regional talent agglomeration. It is essential to absorb or release high-level talents to shift in driving force according to the optimal site.