• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (10): 1881-1891.

• 技术创新与制度创新 • 上一篇    下一篇

创新属性、制度质量与中国产业结构转型升级

袁航1,朱承亮2   

  1. 1. 首都经济贸易大学
    2. 中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所
  • 收稿日期:2018-09-30 修回日期:2018-11-30 出版日期:2019-10-15 发布日期:2019-10-24
  • 通讯作者: 袁航
  • 基金资助:

    国家社科基金青年项目“大众创业对中国经济发展的影响研究”

Innovation Attribute, Institutional Quality and Transformation and Upgrading of China's Industrial Structure

  • Received:2018-09-30 Revised:2018-11-30 Online:2019-10-15 Published:2019-10-24

摘要: 基于2004-2015年省际面板数据,从制度质量视角研究了创新数量、创新质量对产业结构转型升级(TUIS)的差异化影响。研究发现:(1)创新数量能显著促进TUIS,创新质量因水平较低对TUIS的促进作用尚不显著;(2)创新数量与制度质量协同发展未促进TUIS,创新质量与制度质量协同发展能显著推动TUIS;(3)创新数量对产业结构高度化(ISA)存在单一制度质量门槛4.9200,伴随制度质量跨越门槛值,创新数量对ISA的影响由负变正,而创新数量对产业结构合理化(ISR)不存在制度质量门槛;(4)创新质量对ISA存在双重制度质量门槛5.4486和6.7066,对ISR存在单一制度质量门槛7.5419,伴随制度质量跨越门槛值,创新质量对ISA与ISR的影响均由负变正;(5)创新质量对TUIS的制度质量门槛高于创新数量,对ISR的制度质量门槛亦高于ISA。未来中国要实现以高质量创新驱动TUIS,要不遗余力提升创新质量,加快推进市场化建设进程。

Abstract: Based on the inter-provincial panel data from 2004 to 2015, this paper studies the differential influence of innovation quantity and innovation quality on the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure(TUIS) from the perspective of institutional quality. The study found that: (1) The innovation quantity could significantly promote TUIS, while the innovation quality has no significant effect due to its lower level; (2) The coordinated development of innovation quantity and institutional quality did not promote TUIS, while innovation quality and institutional quality did; (3) The innovation quantity has a single institutional quality threshold 4.9200 for the industrial structure advancement(ISA). With the institutional quality exceeds the threshold, the impact of innovation quantity on ISA will change from negative to positive, while the innovation quantity does not have an institutional quality threshold for industrial structure rationalization(ISR); (4) The innovation quality has double institutional quality threshold 5.4486 and 6.7066 for ISA and a single institutional quality threshold 7.5419 for ISR. As the institutional quality exceeds the threshold, the impact of innovation quality on ISA and ISR will Change from negative to positive; (5) The institutional quality threshold of innovation quality for TUIS is higher than that of innovation quantity. The institutional quality threshold for ISR is also higher than ISA. In the future, China will need to spare no efforts to improve the innovation quality and accelerate the process of market-oriented construction in order to promote TUIS with high-quality innovation.