• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2020, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (1): 54-62.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

人工智能提升企业劳动收入份额了吗

金陈飞1,吴杨2,池仁勇1,吴宝3   

  1. 1. 浙江工业大学
    2. 浙江工业大学管理学院
    3.
  • 收稿日期:2019-03-11 修回日期:2019-05-07 出版日期:2020-01-15 发布日期:2020-03-03
  • 通讯作者: 金陈飞
  • 基金资助:
    互联网背景下众筹扶贫模式及保障机制研究

Can Artificial Intelligence Promote Labor Share of Income

  • Received:2019-03-11 Revised:2019-05-07 Online:2020-01-15 Published:2020-03-03

摘要: 随着人工智能时代的到来,产业体系与生产方式发生着转变,对劳动力市场和国民收入分配格局产生冲击。在此背景下,基于微观企业面板数据,分析人工智能应用对企业劳动收入份额的影响。利用双重差分倾向匹配得分法(PSM-DID)的研究结论表明,人工智能应用显著提升企业劳动收入份额,平均而言可以提升1.4-1.7个百分点,且这一效果在不同类型企业之间存在异质性,出口参与行为抑制了人工智能对劳动收入份额的促进作用;私营企业强于非私营企业;对劳动密集型企业的积极影响最为突出。利用因果中介分析(CMA)模型的机制验证表明,人工智能应用提升企业劳动收入份额的作用机制以劳动增进效应为主,企业全要素生产率起到部分中介效应。研究结论对我国在“人工智能革命”中的收入分配改革具有启示意义。

Abstract: With the advent of the era of artificial intelligence, the industrial system and mode of production are transforming, which has an impact on the labor market and the distribution pattern of national income. Under the background, based on the panel data of micro enterprises, this paper studies the impact of AI on the labor share of income. The results with PSM-DID method show that AI can significantly increase the labor share of income by 1.4-1.7 percentage points on average, and the effects of AI on labor share of income show heterogeneity across ownerships, export status and between labor-intensive and capital-intensive industries. We also explore the mechanism behind the correlation between AI and labor share of income with causal mediation analysis (CMA) and find that the mechanism of AI to promote labor share of income is mainly labor promotion effect and TFP is a mediator which carries the influence of AI on the labor share of income for enterprises. The conclusion of this study has enlightenment significance for the reform of income distribution in the "artificial intelligence revolution" in China.