产业关联视角下中国碳排放核算分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 中国作为世界上最大的CO2排放国，保持经济增长的同时减少CO2排放已成为一个重要问题。应用产业间关联性分析可识别关键减排部门和省份。研究基于MRIO模型，利用产业间关联性分析的方法，结合边际和绝对指标对产业间生产和CO2排放进行前向和后向关联性分析。在后向关联中，广东为最大的碳流入省份，电力、热力生产和供应及建筑部门为最大的碳流入产业，宁夏、新疆和内蒙古的电热部门为重点减排行业。在前向关联中，山东为最大的碳流出省份，第三产业成为CO2排放的主要驱动力，重点减排行业包括山西和内蒙古的煤炭采选产品，北京、上海和广东等发达省份的服务业。供需双方的重点减排省份是河北、山西、内蒙古和山东。

Abstract: As the largest CO2 emitter country, It’s so important for China to reduce CO2 emissions while maintaining economic growth. Industrial linkage analyses can be applied to identify key emission reduction sectors and provinces. Based on the multi-regional input-output model, we use the method of inter-sectoral correlation analysis to analyze the forward and backward correlation of production and CO2 emissions between industrial sectors combined with marginal and absolute indicators. In the backward linkage, Guangdong is the province with the largest CO2 inflow, the electricity, heat production and supply sector, as well as construction sector are the largest CO2 inflow industries, and electricity and heat sectors in Ningxia, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia are the key emission reduction industries. In the forward linkage, Shandong is the province with the largest CO2 outflow, and the tertiary industry has become the main driving force for CO2 emissions. The key emission reduction industries include coal mining products in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia, and service industries in developed provinces such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong. The key emission reduction provinces of both supply and demand are Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia and Shandong.

杨柏秦广鹏杨红. 产业关联视角下中国碳排放核算分析[J]. 科学学研究, 2023, 41(10): 1800-1811.

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