• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2024, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 85-97.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

容错机制能激励政府引导基金发挥引导作用吗?

梁蔚萍,周翔翼   

  1. 西安交通大学
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-31 修回日期:2023-01-19 出版日期:2024-01-15 发布日期:2024-01-15
  • 通讯作者: 周翔翼
  • 基金资助:
    中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金

Can the Fault-tolerance Mechanisms Stimulate Government-guiding Fund to Play the Guiding Role?Evidence from Quasi-natural Experiments

  • Received:2022-10-31 Revised:2023-01-19 Online:2024-01-15 Published:2024-01-15

摘要: 本文以政府引导基金容错机制的实施为准自然实验,运用多期DID方法进行政策评估。研究结果显示:容错机制实施当年促进了引导基金投资早期、早期科技型初创企业,在政策实施次年抑制了引导基金投向早期、早期科技型企业,且这两种相反政策结果都很稳健。影响机制研究表明,容错机制实施当年提高了引导基金的风险承担水平和使用效率,但在政策次年降低了引导基金的风险承担水平,而对使用效率的影响不显著。异质性研究表明,经验丰富的基金管理机构会降低政策的正向作用,有限合伙制基金会促进政策实施当年的正向作用。进一步研究表明,容错机制实施当年提高了对本省风险投资活跃地区和外省的早期科技型企业的投资;次年抑制了对风险投资活跃地区早期初创企业的投资。本文结论表明容错机制产生了“昙花一现”的激励作用。因此,政策有效落地需要各地对容错机制进行优化调整,制定更加精准有效的措施,保障政策执行与政策意图相一致。

Abstract: Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the implementation of government-guided fund fault-tolerance mechanism, this paper applies the multi-period DID method to conduct policy evaluation. Our main findings are as follows. First, fault-tolerance mechanism promotes the governmental-guidance fund to invest early and early technology start-ups in the first year, and decreases the investment next year, the opposite policy effects are robust. Second, the influencing mechanism shows that the fault-tolerant mechanism improves the risk-bearing level and use efficiency of the guide fund in the first year, but reduces the risk-bearing level of and has no significant effect on the use efficiency of guiding fund next year. Third, we study the heterogeneity to show that experienced fund management institution reduces the positive effect of policies in the first year and next year, while the fund with limited partnership promotes the positive effect of policies in the first year. Last, we further show that the fault tolerance mechanism improves the investment in the active venture capital areas and early-technology entrepreneurs in the other province; The mechanism depresses the investment in early start-ups that is in the active venture capital areas in the following year. We conclude that the incentive effect of fault-tolerant mechanism is a "flash in the pan". Therefore, local government is necessary to optimize and adjust fault-tolerance mechanisms to make the implementation of policy effective, and formulate more precise and effective measures to ensure that policy implementation is consistent with policy intentions.