数字产业创新对产业结构现代化的影响研究

科学学研究 ›› 2024, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 170-182.

数字产业创新对产业结构现代化的影响研究

宋培¹,¹,白雪洁²,李琳³,艾阳¹,²

1.
2. 南开大学
3. 南开大学经济学院

收稿日期:2022-11-29 修回日期:2023-03-23 出版日期:2024-01-15 发布日期:2024-01-15
通讯作者: 李琳
基金资助:
大国经济条件下构建自主可控的现代产业体系重大问题研究;数字技术驱动经济结构优化转型的内在机理、效应评估与政策创新

Research on the Impact of Digital Industry Innovation on the Modernization of Industrial Structure

Received:2022-11-29 Revised:2023-03-23 Online:2024-01-15 Published:2024-01-15

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 科技创新是“中国式现代化”建设的第一动力，探讨数字产业创新能否引领产业结构现代化对推动中国经济高质量发展具有重要意义。基于“要素链-产业链-价值链”的逻辑框架，剖析数字产业创新助推产业结构现代化的内在机理，从服务化水平、工业结构高级化和服务业结构高级化三个维度构建产业结构现代化的衡量指标，利用中国2009-2017年30个省份的面板数据实证检验数字产业创新对产业结构现代化的具体影响。研究发现：中国数字产业创新水平呈“质”与“量”并驾齐驱的逐年上升趋势，但区域间差距较大，产生了“数字鸿沟”现象；2012年之前，中国经济结构存在“脱实向虚”倾向，进入新常态后，产业结构不断向着先进制造业和生产性服务业占比持续上升的现代服务经济转型；中国数字产业创新显著推动了产业结构现代化，该结论在采用工具变量、调整样本范围、替换主要解释变量、考虑遗漏变量后仍成立；数字产业创新对产业结构现代化的影响具有显著的区域异质性和时间异质性；数字产业发展和地区生产率提升是数字产业创新推动产业结构现代化的重要途径。上述研究结论为中国抢占数字经济发展机遇，构建现代产业体系提供经验证据。

Abstract: Scientific and technological innovation is the first driving force for the construction of "Chinese path to modernization". It is of great significance to explore whether digital industry innovation can lead the modernization of industrial structure to promote the high-quality development of China's economy. Based on the logical framework of "factor chain industry chain value chain", this paper analyzes the internal mechanism of digital industry innovation promoting the modernization of industrial structure, constructs the measurement indicators of industrial structure modernization from three dimensions of service level, industrial structure upgrading and service industry structure upgrading, and empirically tests the specific impact of digital industry innovation on industrial structure modernization using panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2017. The research finds that the innovation level of China's digital industry is on the rise year by year, with both "quality" and "quantity" keeping abreast, but the gap between regions is large, resulting in a "digital divide" phenomenon; Before 2012, China's economic structure had a tendency of "breaking away from reality to emptiness". After entering the new normal, the industrial structure continued to transform to a modern service economy where the proportion of advanced manufacturing and productive services continued to rise; The innovation of China's digital industry has significantly promoted the modernization of industrial structure. This conclusion is still valid after using tool variables, adjusting the sample range, replacing the main explanatory variables, and considering the missing variables; The impact of digital industry innovation on the modernization of industrial structure has significant regional heterogeneity and temporal heterogeneity; Digital industry development and regional productivity enhancement are important ways for digital industry innovation to promote the modernization of industrial structure. The above research conclusions provide empirical evidence for China to seize the development opportunities of digital economy and build a modern industrial system.

宋培白雪洁李琳艾阳. 数字产业创新对产业结构现代化的影响研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2024, 42(1): 170-182.

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