Abstract: Based on the theory of dynamic development of disciplines, applying life cycle theory and the theory of technological innovation nonlinear development, combined with the discipline development law, the development process of emerging disciplines is studied. Discipline life cycle is divided into five periods: incubation period, growth period, development period, mature period and transformation period. The evaluation index of discipline development based on scientific research and practical application is proposed, so as to establish the two-dimensional coordinate system for the evaluation of discipline development. It is proposed that the coordinate system can be divided into three intervals, namely, "graphene interval", "bio material interval" and "cloud computing interval", which represent three different development models of emerging discipline. On this basis, the time dimension is introduced to form the three-dimensional coordinate system. Thus, the discipline development path model is built, which can quantitatively describe the dynamic development of discipline.

摘要： 基于学科动态发展观，应用生命周期理论、技术创新非线性发展理论等理论方法，结合学科自身发展规律，对新兴学科发展历程进行研究。把学科生命周期划分为五个阶段：孕育期、成长期、发展期、成熟期和蜕变期，并构建以科学研究和实践应用为核心指标的学科生命发展评价指标，从而建立新兴学科生命发展评价二维坐标系，提出坐标系可划分为三个区间，即“石墨烯区间”、“生物材料区间”和“云计算区间”，分别代表新兴学科三种不同的发展模式。在此基础上，引入时间维度，形成学科生命发展评价三维坐标系，从而构建一种能够对学科动态发展进行描述的量化模型，即学科生命发展路径模型。