Abstract: In recent years, techno-economic security has become a prominent issue in China. Strengthening the assessment of techno-economic security has been included in the Outline of China’s 14th Five-Year Plan, which urgently needs the support of basic theoretical and methodological research. This article focuses on technological dependence, draws on the relevant theories of international technology transfer, analyzes the interrelationship among production capability, dependence, and innovation capability and its impact on economic security, and proposes a PTIER (product capability—technology dependence—innovation capability—economic effects—economic risks) mechanism ("three stages and two effects") in which technological dependence affects economic security. After the technology-receiving country introduces technology to form product capability, it may form technological dependence, which will be self-sustaining if it fails to develop innovation capability in time. Technological dependence can be both a catalyst for economic development and a threat to economic security due to the costs and risks associated with the dependency. If the technology transfer that forms dependency is restricted, the short-term economic damage to the technology-receiving country is inevitable, but it may also force the local innovation capability to improve.

摘要： 近年来，技术经济安全成为我国面临的突出问题，加强技术经济安全评估已列入国家“十四五”规划《纲要》，迫切需要基础理论和方法研究支撑。文章聚焦技术依赖，借鉴国际技术转移相关理论，分析了生产能力、依赖关系和创新能力相互关系及对经济安全的影响，提出技术依赖影响经济安全的PTIER（“三阶段两效应”）机制。技术接受国引进技术形成生产能力后，可能会形成技术依赖关系，如果未能及时形成创新能力，依赖关系将自我持续。技术依赖既会对经济发展起促进作用，也会因依赖关系而带来成本和风险，威胁经济安全。如果形成依赖关系的技术转移受限，技术接受国短期经济受损难以避免，但是也可能倒逼本土创新能力提升。