Studies in Science of Science ›› 2025, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 1131-1140.
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武永超1,李键江2,刘伟3
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Abstract: In the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial change, relying on innovation driven has become the proper meaning and key way to cultivate new quality productivity. The article takes the promulgation of the Outline of the National Innovation Driven Development Strategy as a quasi-natural experiment, selects the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2022, and adopts the continuous DID method to explore the impact effect and transmission mechanism of the National Innovation Driven Development Strategy on the cultivation of new quality productivity.The study finds that: (1) The implementation of the national innovation driven development strategy significantly boosts the cultivation of new quality productivity in regions, and this conclusion remains valid after a series of rigorous robustness tests; (2)The results of the mechanism test show that the national innovation driven development strategy mainly contributes to the cultivation of new quality productivity by promoting market development and information technology;(3) Expansion analyses show that there is an obvious unevenness in the boosting effect of the national innovation-driven development strategy on new quality productivity. Compared to the central and western regions and regions with lower human capital, the eastern region and regions with higher human capital can draw more benefits from strategic implementation. This paper theoretically extends the relevant research on the influencing factors of new quality productivity, and practically provides empirical guidance for the implementation of the innovation driven development strategy and the acceleration of the development of new quality productivity.
摘要: 新一轮科技革命和产业变革中,依托创新驱动成为培育新质生产力的应有之义和关键途径。文章以《国家创新驱动发展战略纲要》的颁布为准自然实验,选取2010—2022年中国31个省份的面板数据,采用连续型双重差分法探讨国家创新驱动发展战略对新质生产力的影响效应及传导机制。研究发现:(1)国家创新驱动发展战略的实施显著助推了地区新质生产力的培育,在经历一系列严苛的稳健性检验后,这一结论依然有效;(2)机制检验结果显示,国家创新驱动发展战略主要通过促进市场发展和信息化建设来助推新质生产力培育;(3)拓展性分析表明,国家创新驱动发展战略对新质生产力的助推效应存在明显的非均衡性。相比于中西部和人力资本较低的地区,东部地区和人力资本较高地区能够从战略实施当中汲取更多的收益。本文在理论上扩展了新质生产力影响因素的相关研究,在实践上为创新驱动发展战略实施和加快新质生产力发展提供了经验指引。
武永超 李键江 刘伟. 创新驱动发展战略能否助推新质生产力培育? ———基于连续型双重差分的实证检验[J]. 科学学研究, 2025, 43(6): 1131-1140.
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https://journal08.magtechjournal.com/kxxyj/EN/Y2025/V43/I6/1131