• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2012, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 1063-1070.

• 科技管理与知识管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

创业者认知偏差与连续创业的关系研究

赵文红,孙卫   

  1. 西安交通大学管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2011-12-15 修回日期:2012-03-15 出版日期:2012-07-15 发布日期:2012-07-15
  • 通讯作者: 赵文红
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(71072133)

The Study on the relationship of Cognitive Bias and Serial Entrepreneur

  • Received:2011-12-15 Revised:2012-03-15 Online:2012-07-15 Published:2012-07-15

摘要: 随着中国进入经济社会转型时期,中国的创业活动呈现逐步增长的趋势,诸多创业者们开始走“连续创业”之路。基于创业认知理论,以126名连续创业者的调研数据为依托,探索创业者认知偏差对连续创业行为的作用关系。实证研究结果显示,过度自信和控制错觉等认知偏差对连续创业有积极地影响,但是,事后明白偏差与连续创业的关系呈现负显著,而少数原理等认知偏差与连续创业之间的关系不显著。结果还显示,风险承担倾向对于过度自信、控制错觉、事后明白、少数原理等偏差与连续创业的关系具有调节作用。

关键词: 连续创业 , 认知偏差 , 风险倾向 , Serial entrepreneur, Cognitive bias, Risk taking propensity

Abstract: With the rapid growth of emerging small businesses, China gradually formed the economic development characteristic with entrepreneurial driven, making many entrepreneurs start to the "serial entrepreneur" road. This study is based on entrepreneurial cognitive theory, extends the type of cognitive bias, analyze the relationship between four kinds of cognitive bias and serial entrepreneur, results show that overconfidence and illusion of control have a positive influence on serial entrepreneur, but hindsight bias has a negative effect on serial entrepreneur, while law of small numbers and serial entrepreneur are not significant. This study empirically examines the moderating effect of risk taking propensity on the relationship between cognitive bias and serial entrepreneur.

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