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ISSN 1003-2053　CN 11-1805/G3
科学学研究

科学学研究 ›› 2015, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (4): 530-538.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

产业融合、绩效提升与制造业成长--基于1998-2011年面板数据的实证

汪芳,潘毛毛   

  1. 武汉理工大学
  • 收稿日期:2014-07-20 修回日期:2015-02-03 出版日期:2015-04-15 发布日期:2015-04-20
  • 通讯作者: 汪芳
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金青年项目（71203172）；国家社会科学基金重点项目（11AZD081）；中央高校基本科研业务费项目（13-Ib-069）

Industrial Convergence, Performance Improvement and Manufacturing Industry Growth :An Empirical Study based on panel data during 1998 to 2011

  • Received:2014-07-20 Revised:2015-02-03 Online:2015-04-15 Published:2015-04-20
  • Supported by:

    Research on the Hypercycle Evolution and Convergence Enlargement mechanism of Hi-tech Industry Growth;the theoretical and policy study of the emerging strategic industry;The Performance Evaluation and mode priority of Hi-tech Industry Growth

摘要： 产业融合是现代产业发展的新趋势，并逐渐成为产业发展和经济增长的新动力。利用投入产出法和面板数据回归方法分析了1998-2011年间产业融合的变化趋势，实证分析了产业融合对产业绩效的提升以及对制造业成长的促进作用。研究结果表明，技术密集型行业比劳动密集型和资本密集型行业更容易产生融合；信息业与制造业的融合是制造业绩效提升和成长的格兰杰原因，但是有一定的滞后性；融合对制造业成长的促进要显著于对制造业绩效提升方面的作用。提出进一步加强信息化建设、构建融合型现代产业体系、加强企业技术创新和产业重组，逐步深化有利于信息业与制造业融合的产业政策，使得产业融合对制造业绩效的作用得以充分发挥，进一步推动融合对制造业成长的促进作用。

Abstract: Industrial convergence is a new trend of modern industrial development and a new power to industrial development and economic growth. The article uses panel data regression method to analyze variation tendency of industrial convergence from 1998 to 2011. Then the article analyzes industrial convergence’s promotion on industrial performance and the growth of manufacturing industry quantitatively. The result shows that technology-intensive industries have a deeper industrial convergence than labor-intensive industries and capital-intensive industries. It also proves that the integration of information industry and manufacturing industry is the Granger reason of improvement of manufacturing performance and manufacturing industry growth, but it has the time-lag. Compared with manufacturing industry growth, the convergence between information industry and manufacturing industry has no significant effect on the improvement of manufacturing industry performance, According to empirical results, Chinese government should implement the policies which can strengthen the information construction further, build a integrating modern industrial system, strengthening enterprise technology innovation and industrial restructuring. Then industry convergence will improve the industry performance and accelerate the development of manufacturing industry.