科学学研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (6): 961-967.
• 科学学理论与方法 • 下一篇
张振刚1,2,罗泰晔2
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摘要: 本文提出了一种基于知识网络的技术预见方法。以2011-2015年间的1101项与纳米技术相关的专利数据为例,以专利所包含知识的组合潜力、组合机会、多样性和独特性为指标,使用K均值聚类法把专利聚成两类。通过对组合潜力、组合机会、多样性和独特性高的一类专利的内容分析,挖掘出纳米技术研究的热门领域和发展趋势。以2017年的纳米技术相关专利数据验证了该方法的有效性。
Abstract: This paper proposes a novel approach to forecast technology development based on a knowledge network. Taking the data of 1101 nanotechnology-related patents from 2011 to 2015 as an example, using the patents’ knowledge combinatorial potential, combinatorial opportunities, diversity and uniqueness as indexes, we employ K-means clustering to divide the patents into two classes. By analyzing the content of the patent cluster with high knowledge combinatorial potential, combinatorial opportunities, diversity and uniqueness, hot fields and development trends of nanotechnology research are extracted. The effectiveness of the method is tested by using the data of nanotechnology-related patents in 2017.
张振刚 罗泰晔. 基于知识网络的技术预见研究[J]. 科学学研究, 2019, 37(6): 961-967.
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https://journal08.magtechjournal.com/kxxyj/CN/Y2019/V37/I6/961