• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2012, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 1671-1675.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

行业发展与碳排放脱钩关系研究:以制造业为例

王欢芳1,胡振华2   

  1. 1. 中南大学
    2.
  • 收稿日期:2012-03-27 修回日期:2012-08-20 出版日期:2012-11-15 发布日期:2012-11-15
  • 通讯作者: 王欢芳
  • 基金资助:
    自然科学基金项目(项目批准号:71072079),湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目(11YBA097)和湖南省教育厅科学研究项目(11C0437)

The Research on the Decoupling Relationship Between Sector Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide in China:Take the Manufacturing Sector for Example

  • Received:2012-03-27 Revised:2012-08-20 Online:2012-11-15 Published:2012-11-15

摘要: 在全球发展低碳经济的大背景下,我国也提出了要节能减排,优化产业结构,走新型工业化道路,因此,科学判断各行业经济增长与碳排放之间的脱钩关系有着重要的理论价值和现实意义。本文基于Tapio脱钩指标构建了行业发展与碳排放脱钩的理论模型,对我国28个制造业1999-2003年间和2004-2008年间经济增长与碳排放之间的脱钩关系进行了实证研究。结果显示近十年来我国绝大部分制造业的经济增长与碳排放之间呈现弱脱钩状态,且脱钩水平所有提高,节能弹性指标显示这主要与近年来我国能源利用效率逐步提高有关,尽管如此,我国制造业节能减排的任务还很艰巨,这需要企业、政府和社会多方努力来共同完成。

关键词: 行业发展, 碳排放, 脱钩指标, 制造业, 能源效率

Abstract: In the background of developing low carbon economy all around the global,our country has also made a national call to save energy and reduce emission , optimize the industry structure, and take a new-style industrialized way, therefore, the scientific judgment of decoupling relationship between the industry economy growth and carbon dioxide has important theoretical value and practical significance.Tapio Decoupling Index is used in this paper to build a theory model on analyse decoupling relationship between sector development and carbon dioxide,then do positivist research on 28 manufacture sectors by using the data between the years 1999-2003 and 2003-2008.The conclusion is that,in the last decade ,the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth is in the state of weak decoupling for most of the manufacture sectors,and the decoupling level has been enhanced,the energy saving elastic index shows that these results mainly because of the improvement of the energy using efficiency in our country,however,the task of reducing the carbon emission is also very difficult,it requires the enterprises, our government and the society to make a joint effort.

中图分类号: