• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2013, Vol. ›› Issue (12): 1889-1898.

• 技术创新与制度创新 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于混沌动力学的知识创新演化规律分析

韩蓉,林润辉   

  1. 南开大学商学院
  • 收稿日期:2013-04-07 修回日期:2013-07-03 出版日期:2013-12-15 发布日期:2013-12-26
  • 通讯作者: 韩蓉
  • 基金资助:
    “我国集团企业跨国治理与评价研究”,国家自然科学基金重点课题

Analysis of Knowledge Innovation Evolution Based on Chaotic Dynamic Model

  • Received:2013-04-07 Revised:2013-07-03 Online:2013-12-15 Published:2013-12-26

摘要: 知识创新是一个复杂的、隐含规律与秩序的演化过程,文中运用混沌理论进行了知识创新的演化趋势和规律探讨。将知识创新系统看作复杂系统,分析知识创新的混沌特性,建立基于创新能力的知识创新的混沌动力学模型。在模型建立的基础上,进行知识创新的模拟和动态演变规律的分析,以创新的状态和系统的演化为依据,将知识创新分为非时间连续的四类阶段:创新匮乏阶段、初步创新阶段、规律创新阶段和混沌创新阶段,与渐进性创新和突破性创新进行了对应分析,并基于本文的模型从知识创新角度分析了知识创新系统中渐进性创新与突破性创新的统一。

关键词: 知识创新, 混沌理论, 动力学模型, 创新演化, Knowledge Innovation, Chaos Theory, Dynamic Model, Innovation Evolution

Abstract: The evolution process of knowledge innovation is complex and chaos, while regular and ordered. In this paper, we use chaos theory to analyze the knowledge innovation evolution tendency and rules. Particularly, the knowledge innovation is regarded as complex system. In view of the chaotic characteristic discussion, we propose the chaotic dynamic model of knowledge innovation. Based on the model, we simulate knowledge innovation and study the dynamic evolution process. In condition of different innovation states and system evolution, there are four stages in knowledge innovation: deficient innovation stage, preliminary innovation stage, regular innovation stage and chaotic innovation stage. In the end, from the point of view of knowledge innovation, we discuss the consistency of incremental innovation and radical innovation.

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