• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

›› 2014, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 604-612.

• 技术创新与制度创新 • 上一篇    下一篇

创新要素对产业创新绩效的影响——基于中国制造业和高技术产业数据的实证分析

李培楠,赵兰香,万劲波   

  1. 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 收稿日期:2013-09-28 修回日期:2013-12-03 出版日期:2014-04-15 发布日期:2014-04-16
  • 通讯作者: 万劲波

The impact of innovation factors on industry innovation performances: A empirical analysis based on Chinese manufacturing and high technology industries

  • Received:2013-09-28 Revised:2013-12-03 Online:2014-04-15 Published:2014-04-16

摘要: 优化创新要素投入结构,提高创新绩效,是一个备受关注的问题。本文基于2007-2012年中国制造业和高技术产业数据,运用面板回归方法和BP神经网络方法,就人力资本、内部资金、外部技术和政府支持等创新要素投入对产业创新绩效的影响进行了实证研究,研究发现:在技术开发阶段,内部资金、外部技术以及人力资本中研发人员比重对产业创新绩效具有正向影响,人力资本中研发人员数量和政府支持对产业创新绩效具有负向影响;在成果转化阶段,人力资本对产业创新绩效具有正向影响,外部技术对产业创新绩效具有负向影响,内部资金对产业创新绩效具有“倒U型”关系,政府支持对产业创新绩效具有“正U型”关系。最后,基于创新要素对不同阶段产业创新绩效产生的不同影响,提出针对性政策建议。

关键词: 创新要素, 产业创新, 创新绩效, innovation factors, industry innovation, innovation performance

Abstract: It has been drawing a lot of attentions on approaches to improving innovation factors input structures and raising innovation performances. Based on the statistical data of China’s manufacturing industry and high technology industry from 2007 to 2012, this paper employed methods of panel data regression analysis and BP neural network to research on the impact of input of several innovation factors, including human capital, internal capital, external technologies and government supports, on industry innovation performances. Some conclusions were drawn from the research:In the technological development process, factors including internal capital, external technologies and the proportion of human capital that researchers account for, have positive impact on innovation performances while the number of researchers and government supports make negative impact. In the process of technological achievements transformation, human capital has positive impact on innovation performances while external technology has negative impact; also, internal capital and innovation performances have a ‘inverted U-shaped’ relationship while government supports and innovation performances have a ‘U-shaped’ relationship. This paper finally proposed policy-related specific proposals based on the resultant conclusions of the impact of different factors on innovation performances in different process.

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