• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (11): 1947-1959.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

要素流动、产业结构调整与区域经济分化

孙巍1,徐邵军2   

  1. 1. 吉林大学数量经济研究中心
    2. 吉林大学商学院
  • 收稿日期:2020-10-21 修回日期:2021-01-25 出版日期:2021-11-15 发布日期:2021-11-15
  • 通讯作者: 徐邵军

Factor Flowing,Industrial Structure Change and Regional Economic Divergence

  • Received:2020-10-21 Revised:2021-01-25 Online:2021-11-15 Published:2021-11-15

摘要: 本文从理论模型分析、中国实际数据模拟两个角度解析了地区间要素流动、产业结构变迁以及区域经济差距之间的关系。本文构建的两地区、三部门的理论模型揭示了地区间经济差距演化的原因在于地区间产业结构的调整,而地区间产业结构调整的根源在于资本、异质性劳动流动过程中表现出的相依性。本文提出的理论模型及分析过程可用于探究任意经济体任意时期的经济结构特征。将该理论与方法应用于中国实际,得到的模拟结果表明,以现代化技术为生产特征的产业结构调整造成了中国地区间经济差距的扩大,而不同产业结构对生产要素流动的引致需求又进一步造成了地区间产业结构发展不平衡,进而形成正反馈机制,即“要素追逐技术”现象。此外,在要素流动背景下,产业间的协调发展是决定地区经济持续增长的关键,高新技术产业的发展需要相应规模的传统服务业支持,同时传统服务业的发展对高新技术产业形成反哺机制。因此,加大技术性资源引进力度,弥补地区间技术差异,引导地区间工业、服务业协调布局与发展,方能有效缩小地区间经济差异。

Abstract: This paper analyzes the relationship between regional factor flow, industrial structure change and the regional economic divergence from two aspects of theoretical model analysis, and simulation based on Chinese actual data. The theoretical model of two regions and three sectors constructed in this paper reveals that the reason for the evolution of the regional economic divergence lies in the adjustment of regional industrial structure, while the root of the adjustment of regional industrial structure lies in the interdependence in the process of capital flowing and heterogeneous labor migration. The theoretical model and analysis process proposed in this paper can be used to explore the economic structure characteristics of any economy in any period. Applying this theory and method to China's practice, the simulation results show that the adjustment of industrial structure characterized by modern technology has resulted in the expansion of the economic divergence between regions in China, while the demand of production factors caused by different industrial structures leads to factor flowing continuously,and has further resulted in the imbalance of the development of industrial structure among regions, thus forming a positive feedback mechanism, which is referred as "factor chasing technology" Phenomenon. Besides, in the context of factor flowing, the coordinated development among industries is the key to determine the sustainable growth of the regional economy. The development of the high-tech industry needs the corresponding scale support of traditional service industry. At the same time, the development of the traditional service industry forms a feedback mechanism for the the high-tech industry. Therefore, only by strengthening the introduction of technological resources, making up for the technological differences between regions, and guiding the coordinated layout and development of industries and services between regions, it can effectively reduce the economic divergence between regions.