Abstract: Green Growth Strategy has been widely viewed as a new path to sustainable development, and it’s very important for China to make a transition to green growth in the NEW Normal Era. This paper develops a Green Growth index（GGI）to measure the trends of Green Growth at national /regional scale. By using this index, the paper defines three categories of GG path under variable context: absolute green growth, relative green growth and non-green growth. It also describes the path of GG in six countries: China, US, UK, German, Japan and KOREA. The result based on Panel Data Regression Model finds that the rates of increase of R&D expenditure, labor inputs, urbanization, and industrial structure lightening have a positive effect on accelerating Green Growth, and environmental tax and energy consumption have an opposite impact. The study opens up new policy insights to accelerate the transition by investing in green innovation and infrastructure, and government should set up a new strategy for green growth.

摘要： 本文构建了一个“绿色增长指数（Green Growth Index）”对国家/区域层面的绿色增长进行衡量，并以此界定了“绝对绿色增长”、“相对绿色增长”和“非绿色增长”3种类型的增长方式。论文以中国、美国、英国、德国、日本和韩国6个国家为对象，采用1996-2012年的数据，对其绿色增长路径进行了比较分析；运用面板回归模型对创新投入等7个主要影响因素进行了识别。回归结果显示：创新投入、劳动投入、城市化水平、产业结构轻型化对加速绿色增长有显著正面效果，而能源消耗和环境税对绿色增长有显著负面效果；在此基础上，论文进一步阐述了我国经济新常态下转向绿色增长、以绿色创新驱动绿色增长战略的政策建议。

关键词: 绿色增长指数（GGI）, 绿色创新, 国际比较, 面板回归模型