• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2019, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (9): 1570-1580.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国制造业分行业研发资本存量的估算

陈钰芬1,侯睿婕2   

  1. 1. 浙江工商大学
    2. 浙江工商大学统计与数学学院
  • 收稿日期:2018-07-04 修回日期:2018-10-28 出版日期:2019-09-15 发布日期:2019-09-15
  • 通讯作者: 侯睿婕
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目“企业创新生态系统的异质性主体交互、演进及管理决策”;教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“企业创新生态系统的作用机理、动态演化与管理决策”;浙江省一流学科A类(浙江工商大学统计学)

Estimation of the R&D Capital Stock in China’s Manufacturing Industry within SNA framework

  • Received:2018-07-04 Revised:2018-10-28 Online:2019-09-15 Published:2019-09-15

摘要: 本文在SNA框架下估算制造业分行业R&D资本存量,为后续经济分析提供相对可靠的基础数据。首先,利用辅助指标和统计检验对R&D支出及其构成进行估算与调整,有效解决行业分类和统计口径等数据不可比问题;其次,在SNA框架下将R&D支出转换为R&D投资,利用BEA方法估算得到1990~2016年制造业28个两位数行业的R&D资本存量;最后,对典型行业进行深入比较分析,提出有针对性的政策建议。结果显示:制造业R&D资本存量总体上呈现快速增长趋势;以计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为代表的高技术产业是科技创新的主要力量,但在基础研究领域没有明显优势且对传统制造业的引领作用尚显不足;传统制造业对科技创新的贡献相对减少但地位仍然重要,部分传统制造业已经成为R&D资本存量新的增长点。

Abstract: This paper estimates the R&D capital stock in manufacturing industry in the framework of SNA, which could provide more reliable data for subsequent economic analysis. Firstly, we use auxiliary indicators and statistical tests to estimate and adjust R&D expenditure and its composition, and solve the problems of industry classification and statistical range; Secondly, within the framework of SNA(2008), this paper transforms R&D expenditure to R&D investment, and uses BEA approach to estimate the R&D capital stock in 28 two-digit manufacturing industries from 1990 to 2016; Finally, a further comparative analysis is made to put forward targeted policy recommendations. The results show that the R&D capital stock in manufacturing industry has a rapid growth; the high-tech industry represented by computer, communications and other electronic equipment manufacturing is the main force of scientific and technological innovation but it has no obvious effect on basic research and traditional manufacturing; some industries of traditional manufacturing have been the new growth points of R&D capital stock although the contribution of traditional manufacturing has been decreased.