• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (8): 1376-1388.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

创新能力、劳动力成本与地区制造业智能化转型

汪立鑫1,2,孟彩霞3   

  1. 1.
    2. 复旦大学
    3. 复旦大学经济学院
  • 收稿日期:2022-05-20 修回日期:2022-09-02 出版日期:2023-08-15 发布日期:2023-08-15
  • 通讯作者: 孟彩霞
  • 基金资助:
    中国国有经济边界与国资收益分配研究;高峰四上海国际金融与经济研究院的资助。

Innovation Capacity, Labor Cost and Intelligent Transformation of Regional Manufacturing industry ——Research Based on Provincial Panel Data

  • Received:2022-05-20 Revised:2022-09-02 Online:2023-08-15 Published:2023-08-15

摘要: 工业革命4.0开启了智能化生产时代,如何持续推进智能化大发展成为经济高质量发展的重要命题。利用熵权法测算了2009-2019年我国制造业智能化指数,运用固定效应模型、门槛效应模型、系统GMM以及滞后一期工具变量法考察创新能力与劳动力成本对制造业智能化水平的影响及机制。研究结果表明,创新能力、劳动力成本对制造业智能化转型均有促进作用。创新能力与中、高技能劳动力成本的交互显著提升了制造业智能化水平,其中与高技能劳动力成本交互的正向作用具有时滞性。进一步的区域异质性检验表明,东部地区中高技能劳动力成本提高会增强创新的制造业智能化转型效应,低技能劳动力成本的增强效应不显著;中部地区低、中、高三种技能劳动力成本提高均会有上述增强效应;西部地区不同技能劳动力成本的上述增强效应均不显著;以上意味着东部地区的传导机制更多是智能技术研发,中部地区的传导机制是技术研发与技术应用兼有,西部地区的传导机制均尚未激活。

Abstract: This paper uses the entropy weight method to measure the intelligence index of China’s manufacturing industry from 2009 to 2019, and uses the fixed effect model, the threshold effect model, the system GMM and instrumental variable method to examine the impact mechanism of innovation capacity and labor costs on the level of manufacturing intelligentization. The results show that innovation capacity and labor cost both promote the intelligent transformation of manufacturing industry. The interaction between innovation capacity and the cost of medium and high-skilled labor has a significant positive effect on the improvement of the level of manufacturing intelligence, and the positive effect of the interaction with the cost of high-skilled labor has a time lag. Furthermore, regional heterogeneity shows that the increase in the cost of medium and high-skilled labor in the eastern region will enhance the intelligent transformation effect of innovation in manufacturing, while the enhancement effect of the cost of low-skilled labor is not significant. the increase in labor costs of low-, medium-, and high-skilled labor in the central region will have the above-mentioned enhancement effect, and in the western region are both not significant. The transmission mechanism in the eastern region is more intelligent technology research and development, and the transmission mechanism in the central region is both technology research and development as well as technology application, while the conduction mechanisms in the western region has not yet activated.