• 中国科学学与科技政策研究会
  • 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所
  • 清华大学科学技术与社会研究中心
ISSN 1003-2053 CN 11-1805/G3

科学学研究 ›› 2020, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (10): 1768-1781.

• 科技发展战略与政策 • 上一篇    下一篇

进口贸易、价值链嵌入与制造业生产率进步

张建清1,2,陈果2,单航1,1   

  1. 1.
    2. 武汉大学经济与管理学院
  • 收稿日期:2019-11-11 修回日期:2020-02-27 出版日期:2020-10-15 发布日期:2020-10-15
  • 通讯作者: 陈果
  • 基金资助:

    中美经贸关系新形势对中国全球价值链地位攀升的影响及应对策略研究

Import Trade ,Global Value Chain Embeddedness and Manufacturing Productivity Improvement

  • Received:2019-11-11 Revised:2020-02-27 Online:2020-10-15 Published:2020-10-15

摘要: 鉴于近年来中国进口贸易的快速发展势头和制造业在全球价值链分工中参与度的不断加深,重新审视进口贸易的技术外溢效应具有重要的现实意义。本文利用中国2000-2014年16个制造业的面板数据,研究了进口贸易、价值链嵌入与制造业生产率进步三者之间的关系。研究结果表明:进口贸易研发溢出能够显著促进生产率进步,价值链嵌入与生产率之间则呈现“倒U型”关系,存在“低端锁定”效应;价值链嵌入的“低端锁定”效应集中体现在低技术行业,在中高技术行业并不明显,同时技术水平越高的行业进口贸易技术外溢效应也越大;价值链嵌入度是影响进口贸易研发溢出效应的重要因素,两者之间存在非线性关系,但呈现“正U型”,即随着价值链嵌入度的不断加深,国内制造业技术吸收能力得到提高,进口贸易研发溢出效应由负转正;相较于发展中国家,价值链嵌入对从发达国家进口所获得技术外溢效应影响更为显著,原因可能在于来自发达国家的进口产品通常包含更多技术含量,对技术吸收能力要求更高。

Abstract: In view of the rapid development of China's import trade in recent years and the increasing participation of manufacturing in the global value chain division of labor, it is of great practical significance to re-research the technology spillovers in China's import trade. This paper use panel data including 16 manufacturing industries from 2000 to 2014 to study the relationship between import trade, global value chain embeddedness and manufacturing productivity development. The results show that the R&D spillover of import trade can significantly improve the productivity of manufacturing industry. The global value chain embeddness and productivity improvement have an “inverted U-shaped” relationship, and there is a “low-end locking Dilemma” ; the “low-end locking Dilemma” of global value chain is concentrated in the low-tech industry, while it is not obvious in the middle and high-tech industries. At the same time, the higher the technical level of the industry, the greater the spillover effect of import trade technology. The global value chain embeddedness is an important factor affecting the R&D spillover of import trade. There is a nonlinear relationship between the two factors, but it presents a "positive U-shaped" relationship, that is, with the deepening of the value chain embeddedness, the absorption capacity of domestic manufacturing technology is improved, and the spillover effect of import trade R&D is turned from negative to positive. Compared with developing countries, global value chain embeddedness has a much more significant impact on the R&D spillover of imports from developed countries, probably because imported products from developed countries usually contain more technical content and require more technical absorption capacity.